Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.038914 0.045353 0.052436 0.060793 0.070371 0.080991 0.093647
2025-07-27 0.028754 0.037014 0.046942 0.059706 0.075626 0.094769 0.119470
2025-08-03 0.022270 0.031299 0.043031 0.059278 0.081063 0.109116 0.147803
2025-08-10 0.017265 0.026282 0.038849 0.057448 0.084033 0.120378 0.173468
2025-08-17 0.013774 0.022550 0.035586 0.056064 0.087045 0.131690 0.200265
2025-08-24 0.011497 0.020110 0.033661 0.056115 0.091843 0.145771 0.232328
2025-08-31 0.009434 0.017575 0.031100 0.054661 0.093953 0.155858 0.259310
2025-09-07 0.008473 0.016691 0.031010 0.057073 0.102344 0.176351 0.304380
2025-09-14 0.007317 0.015225 0.029668 0.057101 0.106666 0.190617 0.340732
2025-09-21 0.006163 0.013539 0.027644 0.055574 0.108001 0.199891 0.369497
2025-09-28 0.005322 0.012308 0.026257 0.054973 0.110823 0.211858 0.403862
2025-10-05 0.004997 0.012084 0.026778 0.058061 0.120783 0.237354 0.464450
2025-10-12 0.004585 0.011615 0.026768 0.060163 0.129242 0.261209 0.524858
2025-10-19 0.003929 0.010466 0.025159 0.058762 0.130618 0.271953 0.561932
2025-10-26 0.003433 0.009596 0.024017 0.058176 0.133554 0.285944 0.606502
2025-11-02 0.002924 0.008590 0.022398 0.056297 0.133511 0.293980 0.640071
2025-11-09 0.002521 0.007770 0.021080 0.054898 0.134300 0.303712 0.677851
2025-11-16 0.002251 0.007255 0.020415 0.054927 0.138244 0.320317 0.731171
2025-11-23 0.001947 0.006575 0.019221 0.053491 0.138631 0.329330 0.769255
2025-11-30 0.001844 0.006474 0.019525 0.055850 0.148222 0.359282 0.854919
2025-12-07 0.001658 0.006074 0.018956 0.055875 0.152168 0.376996 0.915224
2025-12-14 0.001441 0.005524 0.017874 0.054377 0.152156 0.385680 0.956068
2025-12-21 0.001281 0.005126 0.017163 0.053787 0.154366 0.399694 1.010205